Predicting the second half of MLB: Shohei Ohtani’s stats, Jacob deGrom’s ERA, Cubs’ sale, etc.

Denver-The first half of the 2021 Major League Baseball season is very interesting, if you can focus on the real games-and those incredibly young and interesting stars playing these games-and exclude the stickiness Kind of stuff.

What will happen in the second half of the year? As always, the unknowns are the best part, but these are difficult to predict because they are unknowns.

So today, let us look at what actually happened in the first half of the year and see what might happen in the future.

more: Chris Bryant, Joey Gallo lead the list of All-Stars who may be traded soon

Jacob deGrom’s ERA (1.08) is lower than Bob Gibson’s iconic 1.12 in 1968.

Will that last? No, the reasons are as follows: Every time someone runs to the Gibson mark, we will have a new understanding of the Cardinals’ right shooter’s outstanding performance in 1968. Now, DeGrom will almost certainly be like a challenge unmatched since Dwight Gooden in 1985 (1.53 ERA) or Greg Maddux in 1994 (1.56) and 1995 (1.63), but the stakes Still he didn’t reach it. Take his last three starts in the first half as an example. He was still very good-allowed 29 strikeouts and 12 hits in 20 innings-but the hits were piled or crossed the fence, and he allowed seven wins (two, then three, then two ). The ERA of these three games was 3.15.

Do you know what Gibson’s three “worst” games were in 1968? It is 2.52, and he has several different three games with the same ERA. He was not allowed to run multiple times in three consecutive games throughout the season.

Then, there is this: Gibson has cast a lot of rounds, so personal running does not have much effect on his SR. He has a higher fault tolerance rate. He played 304 2/3 innings this season, while DeGrom only had 92 innings in the first half. Of course, this is not a criticism of deGrom — it’s a different game now — but the reality of the challenges faced by someone like Gibson who pursues the icon of excellence.

Here is an example: DeGrom has scored a total of 5 points in his back-to-back starts (June 26 and July 1), and his self-report rate has risen from 0.50 to 0.95 by nearly half a percentage point. Gibson scored a total of five points in back-to-back starts (July 30 and August 4), and his self-report rate barely increased, from 0.96 to 1.08.

The White Sox have the highest winning percentage in the AL

Will that last? Yes, the reasons are as follows: When you consider everything the White Sox have to face this season-half of their starters are injured, Eloy Jiménez, Luis Robert, Nick Madrigal and Yasmani Grandal- —Unbelievably, ChiSox has the best AL of 0.607 (technically slightly higher than Red Sox and Astros, 0.605).

“After the intermission, we got back two bats,” shortstop Tim Anderson told SN on All-Star Media Day. “We will let the wheels run in a positive way. We will be fine. We have been doing it. Even these injuries are great.”

Yes, this is an understatement.

Jimenez tore his chest muscles in order to succeed in spring training and is currently undergoing Triple-A Charlotte rehabilitation training. A few weeks ago, Robert returned to baseball while recovering from a torn hip flexor. Madrigal will be out this season, and Grandal will still take a few weeks, but the White Sox is expected to remain active before the trade deadline.

The Blue Jays watch the playoffs outside

Will that last? No, the reasons are as follows: If the Jays want to enter the playoffs for the second year in a row, then their job will be cut off. This will be their second back-to-back performance since 1993. They entered the second half with a 45-42 record, 8 behind the Red Sox game and 4 1/2 points of the second wild card position currently owned by Oakland (they are currently 6.5 points of the Rays who currently own the first WC berth Minute.

So why is Jays ready to take action? Their lineup is solid, with four All-Star players-Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Marcus Semien, Teoscar Hernandez and Bobby Chet as the main players-and they have taken steps to make up for it. One of their biggest weaknesses is the bullpen. Rookie Alex Manoah (Alex Manoah) is an important addition to the rotation. He has an ERA of 2.80 in eight starts. They traded rescuers Adam Simbel and Trevor Richards in different trades. These two right-handers have performed well so far-6 1/3 combined innings, 2 hits, 0 runs, 0 Walk, 8 strikes out. They haven’t finished adding yet. Although I won’t say I am looking forward to it, I am not surprised to see them promote the division championship, not just the wild card position.

Oh, where’s little Flady? He is not currently leading the majors in home runs – he is five points behind Otani Masahiro – but he will lead at the end of the season. We will use any excuse to prove the home run of the All-Star Game again.

Shohei Ohtani is an amazing player, doing things like never before

Will it last? Yes, the reasons are as follows: Yes, he is really great as a batsman, he is really great as a pitcher. And, of course, his home run speed may slow down a bit, but the only thing that prevents him from hitting 45 home runs and 150 strikeouts in 2021 is the potential injury, and we all hope this will not happen.

Guys, this is his new normal.

Chris Bryant plays for the Cubs

Will that last? No, the reasons are as follows: It is true that we will not be thin because of this projection. Kobe is the big name that will almost certainly be traded before the July 30 deadline; if anyone is unsure about this, then during the All-Star game, when Joe Buck asked Kobe about it on live TV, this It was debunked at one point. Yes it is. Jed Hoyer, the president of baseball operations and a key decision maker for the Cubs, admitted that the club is in selling mode after the last 11 defeats.

Kobe may not be the only player moved. Javy Baez and Anthony Rizzo, like Kobe, became a free agent after the season. Both Craig Kimbrel and receiver Willson Contreras may become free agents after the 2022 season, and they can of course be transferred (Kimbrel is more likely than Contreras).

Aaron Boone is the manager of the Yankees

Will it last? Yes, the reasons are as follows: I realize this will upset many Yankees fans because they have been calling for Boone to be fired for some time. If the question is, “Will Boone be the manager of the Yankees in 2022?” The answer may be a bit different. But it is difficult to see this club make a change in this position during the season. Currently, their three games exceed 0.500, eight of which are out of the AFC Eastern Conference, and 4 1/2 out of the second wild card.

Many of the problems on this list-construction, health, etc.-are not Aaron Boone’s problems. Judging from the current situation, it is difficult to see Boone being fired during the season to “ignite the spark” or anyone else who wants the club to start playing better and enter the playoffs. What other reasons need to be seasonally adjusted?

The Giants have the best record in Major League Baseball

Will it last? No, the reasons are as follows: Look, this is not to say that the Giants will collapse and return to the team that everyone wants them to participate in spring training (a team around 0.500). But to be honest, expecting this feel-good story to continue at the same pace in the second half of the year seems a bit too much, right? Veteran catcher Buster Posey in Illinois. The same goes for veteran third baseman Evan Longoria. The same goes for veteran first baseman Brandon Belt. Perception mode?

They will be chasing with the Dodgers and Padres in the NL West, and it would be shocking to see them withdraw from the playoffs. At this point, this is more shocking than the way they have exceeded offseason expectations so far.

The Mets lead NL East

Will it last? Yes, the reasons are as follows: To be honest, the rest of the department is not very good. Look at it this way: The Mets lead NL East with 47 wins and a 0.540 win rate. This is the number of heads of other departments…

  • Brewers, NL Central: 53 and 0.576
  • Giants, West Holland: 57 and 0.640
  • Red Sox, AL East: 55 and 0.604
  • White Sox, AL Central: 54 and 0.607
  • Astros, AL West: 55 and 0.604

Yes it is. The Mets are now preparing to win 88 games, and they have a 3 1/2 game lead in the division. In any other division, they have to win back at least 3 1/2 games. The Phillies are their closest competitor, basically the same as the 0.500 team in the past three seasons. The Warriors just lost their best player, Ronald Acuna, for the season. Another bad week, the Nationals may switch to sales mode.

Moreover, it would be shocking to see the Mets remain silent before the trade deadline. They have a chance to win the division championship, and under the leadership of Jacob DeGrom, Marcus Stromman and Taijuan Walker, they can definitely win multiple series in October. The new boss, Steve Cohen, will flex his muscles in October.



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