2021 NHL playoffs: Lightning vs. Islanders Stanley Cup semi-final breakdown, predictions and odds

Islanders and lightning.

This is a continuous production process for 265 days. How long has passed since the two teams met in the 2020 Eastern Conference Finals and Tampa Bay won the series in six games. This is how long they have faced each other in any type of game.

This is a turning point in the plot: in fact, if things go as usual this year, this is likely to be the last pair in the Eastern Conference. Therefore, although this round of competition has a new championship title for 2021-the Stanley Cup semi-finals-but this is just another driving factor to get things back to normal.

“It is a great opportunity for us to see them again in the semifinals,” Anthony Beauvillier said after his Islanders let the Bruins play golf. “I think we are very proud of what we have done. It is a great opportunity for us to go back to where we had some unfinished things last year. Everyone in the room is very excited and we are very excited. I am really looking forward to it.”

Speaking of normal conditions, both arenas should allow fans to sit back in their seats, especially the Nassau Veterans Memorial Stadium. When the islanders game is over, the old barn is closing the hockey goal, and the team will definitely send the hockey out in a stylish way. It has been 38 years since the home team made the Lord Stanley Cup spin on the ice — 37 years since it participated in the Cup final — and the club will be eager to do it again. On the other hand, the goal of the defending champion Chargers is to repeat it, this time to give fans a chance to witness it.

But before they consider realizing the dream of the Stanley Cup, they must face each other.

Tampa Bay Chargers vs. New York Islanders: schedule, odds, breakdowns, predictions

Stanley Cup semi-final schedule

date pair Time (TV channel)
Sunday, June 13 In Tampa Bay 3 pm (NBC, SN, CBC, TVA Sports)
Tuesday, June 15 In Tampa Bay 8 pm (NBCSN, SN, CBC, TVA Sports)
Thursday, June 17 in New York 8 pm (USA, SN, CBC, TVA Sports)
Saturday, June 19 in New York 8 pm (USA, SN, CBC, TVA Sports)
* Monday, June 21 In Tampa Bay 8 pm (NBCSN, SN, CBC, TVA Sports)
* Wednesday, June 23 in New York 8 pm (NBCSN, SN, CBC, TVA Sports)
* Friday, June 25 In Tampa Bay 8 pm (NBCSN, SN, CBC, TVA Sports)

(* if necessary)

Season statistics

Due to COVID-19 restrictions, the two teams will not play against each other in 2021.Below are some statistics on the other seven teams in their respective divisions (according to NHL.com and Natural Statistics Skills):

TBL statistics New York Times
3.21 GF/GP 2.71
2.59 General Motors/General Motors 2.23
22.2 PP percentage 18.8
84.2 PK percentage 83.7
52.37 CF% at 5v5 48.6
98.57 xGF 5v5 102.52
86.76 xGA 5v5 94.62
58.12 HDGF% at 5v5 58.54


lightning -250 Islander +200

(FanDuel odds)


So the interesting thing about all season statistics for the Chargers: throw them out the window. They all look shiny, but they lack a key element-Nikita Kucherov. The Russian missed the entire regular season recovering from hip surgery and performed poorly in the playoffs. In 11 games, he scored 18 points (5 goals, 13 assists), 13 of which were strong play and averaged a jaw-dropping 1.64 points per game.

If you are Barry Trotz and an islander, you might think, “Let’s close Kucherov, we have a good chance,” right? Well, if you only focus on him, then you will have Steven Stammkos (13 points), Alex Killoren (12 points) Braden points (12 points) and defender Wei Kedor Hedman (11 points) is vacant-and these are just player points for scoring double digits. This is the lightning thing; they have a balanced offense on all four lines, and their blue line players are also involved.

The Islanders have a similar setup with their striker group, especially recently. Known for preventing the opposing team’s high-intensity offense, the player from Long Island is made up of… a guy from Long Island. Deadline receiver Kyle Palmieri reignited the offense with a team-leading seven goals. But he is not the only one to hit the ball into the net. The team’s GF/GP against the Bruins in the second round was 3.67. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (13 points), long-time islanders Josh Bailey (11) and Anthony Beauvillier (11) all reached double digits in the playoffs.

One of the islanders who need to keep up to succeed on the rest of the road is Mat Barzal. The 2018 Calder Cup champion only scored 3 points in six games against the Penguins, but he has recently taken it out. In six games against Boston, he scored six points, including the winning goal in Game 4. In the Eastern Conference finals last season, he contributed four assists in six games. The Islanders’ point lead in 2021 is crucial for this team to surpass the defending champion.

edge: lightning

(Getty Images)


Barry Trotz knows defense.Yes, he knows how to squeeze the last bit of offensive juice from his players, but this man know defense. His team has the second-lowest GA/GP in the regular season, only 2.23. Since Trotz moved north from Washington after winning the 2018 Stanley Cup, the Long Island team has the best 2.46 GA/GP in the league.

In the first round, Trotz sent the Penguins, the best team in the Eastern Conference, into a downward offensive whirlpool. The team including Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin rose from 3.45 GF/GP in the regular season to 2.67. In the second round, the Bruins were 2.93 in the 2021 season and 3.20 GF/GP against the Capitals in the first round, which dropped to 2.83.

Tampa Bay’s GF/GP in the regular season is 3.21, which is not too bad, but again, it does not have Kutchrov. The Islanders have one of the worst Corsi For percentages in 5v5 (42.20)-it is actually 15th among 16 playoff teams-which means they don’t have a lot of hockey pucks and they allow a lot of shots. But they do have the best SCSV% (percentage of non-goal chance shots, Every natural statistics technique) Is 92.23, and the high-risk preservation percentage (87.80) ranks third.

Jon Cooper’s Chargers are also solid defensively. In fact, their GA/GP in the playoffs is better than the Islanders (2.36 vs. 2.75). Having the 2020 Norris Trophy winner and the 2021 Norris Trophy finalist will certainly not do any harm in Victor Herdman’s team. Then there are Mikhail Sergachev, David Savard, Jan Rutta, Erik Cernak and Ryan McDonagh. Everyone except Savard is in the 2020 Cup team, so this team knows what it takes to get to the final round.

edge: Islander


This series may boil down to performances between channels. Andrei Vasilevskiy joined Vezina again for good reason. He leads the league with 31 victories-the Chargers have won 36 games in total-and has a 0.925 successful save rate. It was the regular season; as the importance of each game increased, so did his game level.

“I have been there for a long time, I have seen many good goalkeepers, but he is as good as anyone I have ever met,” Hurricanes coach Rod Blind Amur was eliminated by the Chargers on his team. Later said. “And how he affects the team and how they play. This is what I told him. It’s true.”

In the playoffs, his save success rate was 0.934, only 0.001 lower than leader Kylie Price, and had two lore, including one in the series against Carolina. In 11 starts, he has 3.57 above-average saves and 0.921 high-risk saves in 5v5 (Every natural statistics technique), these two are the best of the remaining goalkeepers.

Trotz summoned his two network administrators in the playoffs-Semyon Varlamov and Ilya Sorokin. Varlamov has started seven games, and rookie Sorokin has played five times. Both show amazing save rates-Sorokin is 0.934 and Varlamov is 0.925-but the latter has recently been successful. After Sorokin faltered in the first game against the Bruins—despite three consecutive victories against Pens—Varlamov has been a goal difference.

edge: lightning

Special team

There is really not much to say here except that the power of Tampa Bay is connected with an efficiency of 41.7%. The Islanders’ penalty kick rate was 61.5%. Translation: If you are an islander, you cannot accept punishment. By the way, the Islanders’ power has reached a respectable 28.1%, while the Chargers’ free throw percentage is 77.8. But, again, if you are an islander, you cannot accept punishment.

edge: lightning

(Getty Images)

Key players to watch

Braden Point (TBL): The Calgary native of Alta Province has recently scored 5 points in the past three games, including winning the series title in the fifth game against the Hurricanes. In 11 games of this playoffs, he scored 8 goals and 12 points, and in the 2020 bubble hockey game, he hit the net 14 times in 23 games, his performance It’s also outstanding. He has 6.83 expected goals in the 5v5 match, ranked fourth in the club, and won 57.26% of faceoffs. Every natural statistics techniqueIn the last playoffs, he played only four of the six games against the Islanders and still slipped by 7 points.

Kyle Palmieri (NYI): Palmieri was acquired through a deal with the long-term demon Travis Zayak before the deadline, and he made himself comfortable on Long Island, which shouldn’t be shocking, because the Smithtown, New York native took the distance. Sao Gymnasium grew up about 30 miles away. After scoring only 4 points in 17 regular season games, he made progress in 12 games in the playoffs with 7 goals and 2 assists. Based on natural statistical techniques, He ranks seventh in the league with a personal xG of 2.65. The 30-year-old forward is making a gorgeous beard for the playoffs, and he has also scored five games.

Lightning vs. Islanders playoff history

It should also be noted that two-thirds of these teams met in the playoffs (regardless of the round), the Chargers won, and they continued to win the Cup.

year result
2020 year TBL definition. NYI reached the conference finals in six games
2016 TBL definition. NYI enters the second round in five games
year 2004 TBL definition. NYI reached the quarterfinals in five games

Last five playoff appearances

Tampa Bay Lightning

year the end
2020 year Win the Stanley Cup
2019 year Lost to CBJ in the first round of four games
2018 Lost to WSH in seven games
2016 Lost to PIT in seven games in the conference finals
2015 Lost to CHI in the Stanley Cup final in six games

New York Islanders

year the end
2020 year Lost to TBL in six games in the conference finals
2019 year Lost to CAR in the second round of four games
2016 Lost to TB in the second round of six games
2015 Lost to WSH in the first round of seven games
year 2013 Lost to PIT’s quarter-finals in six games

Lightning and the prediction of the islanders

It’s hard not to think that the Islanders will pull this guy out-and they may just be because, as we have learned, you will never bet the mastermind Barry Trotz-but the Chargers are, From soup to nuts, more teams. This club has been to the Promised Land. It knows what it needs, and when everything is done, it should have the opportunity to back to back.

prophecy: Lightning in 6

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